26/04/18

Cats v Swans

26/04/18
AFL mark

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1:45 PM (AEST) Saturday, April 28 at GMHBA Stadium, Geelong

Round 6 of the AFL continues this Saturday afternoon when Geelong plays hosts to the Sydney Swans in what is expected to be a great contest.
 

Likely Teams

Geelong: Zach Tuohy, Jake Kolodjashnij, Tom Stewart; Jed Bews, Mark Blicavs, Zach Guthrie; Tim Kelly, Joel Selwood, Mitch Duncan; James Parsons, Esava Ratugolea, Sam Menegola; Brandan Parfitt, Tom Hawkins, Daniel Menzel; Rhys Stanley, Patrick Dangerfield, Gary Ablett.
 
Sydney: Nick Smith, Heath Grundy, Dane Rampe; Callum Mills, Aliir Aliir, Jarrad McVeigh; Jake Lloyd, Luke Parker, Isaac Heeney; Will Hayward, Dean Towers, George Hewett; Tom Papley, Lance Franklin, Kieren Jack; Callum Sinclair, Josh P. Kennedy, Dan Hannebery.
 

History

There have been 221 clashes between these two sides with the Cats leading the head-to-head battle with 121 victories to the Swans 100. Geelong won the most recent clash in the Semis last year, winning by an immense 10 goals.
 

Form

Geelong were considered as one of the small group of teams destined to reach the 2017 decider, and after running second on the ladder (by percentages), they were on track to prove those predictions right. However their form in the finals was rocks and diamonds. They lost to eventual premiers Richmond by 51 points before belting Sydney by near 10 goals. In the Preliminary final, they went down by 61 points to Adelaide. The Cats began 2018 with a tight 3 point win over Melbourne. They then lost by a solitary minor to Hawthorn. The Eagles then beat them by 15 points in Round 3. They bounced back with an 8 goal hiding of the Saints before beating Power last week by 34 points.
 
The Swans had a horror start to their 2017 campaign, losing their first 6 games, spending two weeks in last place on the ladder. It wasn’t until Round 16 that they first entered the top 8, where they stayed til the end of the year, climbing up to 6th place on the ladder. They belted the Bombers in the first week of the finals 121-56 before Geelong’s defence shut down the Swans in week 2, as the Cats won 98-39. They opened their 2018 campaign with a stunning 115-86 win over rivals West Coast but were brought back to earth with a 23 point loss to Port. In Round 3 the Swans won their local derby with GWS by 16 points. They beat the Bulldogs by 7 points in Round 4 but then fell to Adelaide last week by 10 points.
 

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Key Match-Up

Midfield – The Swans midfield has been quite poor of late, leading to their rather inconsistent form of late. Geelong however are in brilliant form right now.
 

Verdict

Geelong at home and in better form are expected to get the points here.
 

Recommended Tips

Geelong $1.40
Sydney $2.95
 

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